Car Ownership and Mode of Transport to Work in Ireland* potx - Pdf 12

The Economic and Social Review, Vol. 41, No. 1, Spring, 2010, pp. 43–75
Car Ownership and Mode of Transport to
Work in Ireland*
NICOLA COMMINS and ANNE NOLAN**
The Economic and Social Research Institute, Dublin
Abstract: Rapid economic and demographic change in Ireland over the last decade, with associated
increases in car dependence and congestion, has focused policy on encouraging more sustainable
forms of travel. In this context, knowledge of current travel patterns and their determinants is
crucial. In this paper, we extend earlier Irish research to examine the joint decision of car
ownership and mode of transport to work. We employ cross-section micro-data from the 2006
Census of Population to estimate discrete choice models of car ownership and commuting mode
choice for four sub-samples of the Irish population, based on residential location. Empirical results
suggest that travel and supply-side characteristics such as travel time, costs, work location and
public transport availability, as well as demographic and socio-economic characteristics such as
age and household composition have significant effects on these decisions.
I INTRODUCTION
A
s a result of rapid economic and demographic change over the last decade,
and the resulting increase in car ownership, Ireland has experienced
many of the problems associated with increasing car dependence. Over the
period 1996-2006,
1
the population of Ireland grew by 16.9 per cent while the
43
* The authors would like to thank ESRI seminar participants and particpants at the Irish
Economic Association Annual Conference 2009 and 4th Kuhmo-Nectar Conference on Transport
Economics 2009 in Copenhagen for helpful comments on an earlier draft.
** Corresponding author: Tel: 8632022; Fax: 8632100; Email:
Paper delivered at the Twenty-Third Annual Conference of the Irish Economic Association,
Blarney, Co. Cork, April 24-26, 2009.
1

Source: CSO Census Interactive Tables (www.cso.ie).
03 Commins-Nolan article_ESRI Vol 41 25/02/2010 14:31 Page 44
There are also wider economic impacts, with carbon dioxide emissions from
transport increasing by 88.7 per cent between 1996 and 2006 (Lyons et al.,
2008).
Environmental considerations imply a need to reverse or at the very least
to halt this shift in favour of the private car. Current policy focuses on a
variety of measures that seek to limit or redirect travel demand in the short
to medium term and encourage alternative more sustainable land-use
strategies in the longer term (see Department of Transport, 2008a, 2008b;
Dublin Transportation Office, 2001, 2006a, 2006b; European Commission,
2007; Fitz Gerald et al., 2008; Morgenroth and Fitz Gerald, 2006). Investment
in public transport and measures which seek to use existing infrastructure
more efficiently such as improved cycle and bus lanes, parking restrictions,
road pricing, carpooling etc. are all considered necessary if a shift away from
the private car towards more sustainable methods of transport such as
walking, cycling and public transport is to be achieved. Current initiatives
include the provision of tax relief for the purchase of public transport tickets
and bicycles for commuting trips with more severe measures such as urban
road pricing or the introduction of a carbon tax proposed but yet to be
implemented.
In this context, knowledge of the factors influencing the demand for
passenger transport is crucial. In this paper we concentrate on transport
demand for a specific journey purpose, namely the journey to work, and
examine the influence of demographic, socio-economic and supply-side factors
on choice of mode of transport for the journey to work in Ireland in 2006 using
discrete choice econometric methodologies. We extend previous Irish research
to incorporate the endogeneity of the car ownership decision by estimating a
joint model of car ownership and mode of transport to work. The 2006 Census
of Population also contains detailed information on home and work location for

school and McGillivray (1972) for other journey purposes including personal
business, visiting friends and relations, shopping and other recreation).
Asensio (2002); De Palma and Rochat (2000); Dissanayake and Morikawa
(2005); Thobani (1984) and Train (1980) all use the nested multinomial logit
methodology to estimate modal choice for the journeys to work in Barcelona,
Geneva, Bangkok, Karachi and San Francisco respectively. The nested
multinomial logit model overcomes the restrictive requirement of the
multinomial logit methodology to have distinct and independent alternatives.
More recent versions of the nested multinomial logit model (such as the
generalised or cross-nested logit) have been developed to incorporate
situations in which correlations exist between alternatives across nests as well
as alternatives within nests, thus allowing for the incorporation of related
decisions such as car ownership or residential/employment location (see for
example, Vega and Reynolds-Feighan, 2008 and Salon, 2009).
4
Much of the early research on Irish travel patterns was carried out in the
context of research on the sustainability of residential and commercial
development (see for example, MacLaran and Killen, 2002; McCarthy, 2004
46 THE ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL REVIEW
3
The multinomial logit and conditional logit models differ in the type of explanatory variables
that can be included; the conditional model can support individual-specific as well as alternative-
specific variables while the multinomial logit can support only the former (Stata, 2007).
4
De Donnea (1971); Lave (1970) and Madan and Groenhout (1987) all use the binary logit
methodology but the ability of the conditional, multinomial and nested logit methods to
incorporate more than two categories of the dependent variable means that they are favoured in
applied work relating to modal choice. Bhat and Pulugurtha (1998) and Hausman and Wise (1978)
estimate multinomial probit models, but the computational complexity of this model means that
it is rarely applied.

car ownership status were exogenous.
III DATA
The data employed in this paper are micro-data from the Place of Work
Census of Anonymised Records (POWCAR) from the 2006 Census of
Population (CoP). The CoP is carried out every five years by the Central
Statistics Office and includes all individuals present in the country on the last
Sunday in April. For the first time, the micro-data for 2006 constitute the
entire population of working individuals aged 15+ years surveyed at home in
private households. In total 1,834,472 individuals are included in the micro-
CAR OWNERSHIP AND MODE OF TRANSPORT TO WORK IN IRELAND 47
03 Commins-Nolan article_ESRI Vol 41 25/02/2010 14:31 Page 47
data file. After excluding individuals working from home, those with a mobile
place of employment and where “other means”
5
and lorry/van were recorded,
the final sample for estimation is 1,564,330 individuals. Due to the substantial
difference in population density and public transport provision across different
areas of Ireland, we further divide the sample into four sub-samples; Dublin
city and county (494,370 individuals), Dublin commuter belt (i.e. the
surrounding counties of Kildare, Meath and Wicklow; 187,779 individuals),
other urban areas (377,649 individuals) and rural areas (504,532
individuals).
6
Table 1 defines the four sub-samples, and provides some details
on public transport availability and transport characteristics in each area.
Each individual observation contains information on demographic and
socio-economic characteristics such as age; gender; household type; housing
tenure; marital status; education level; socio-economic group and industrial
group; as well as variables relating to county and electoral division (ED
7

The electoral division (ED) is the smallest administrative area for which population statistics
are published. There are 3,440 EDs in the state.
03 Commins-Nolan article_ESRI Vol 41 25/02/2010 14:31 Page 48
CAR OWNERSHIP AND MODE OF TRANSPORT TO WORK IN IRELAND 49
Table 1: Sub-Sample Definitions and Selected Characteristics
Dublin City and Commuter Other Urban Rural
County
Definition Dublin County Kildare, Cork, Galway, EDs with
Borough, Fingal, Meath and Limerick and residential
South Dublin, Wicklow Waterford cities density
Dun Laoghaire- and EDs with of fewer than
Rathdown residential 150 persons
density of 150 per km
2
persons per km
2
or greater
Resident 494,370 187,779 377,649 504,532
working
population
Population 4,097* 598 1,610 46
density
Average kilometres 10 21 11 18
to work
Median kilometres 7 16 5 12
to work
Public Extensive bus Inter-urban City bus Inter-urban
transport service; bus and rail services in bus and rail
options suburban coastal services; cities with services
light rail line four radial inter-urban bus

and gender (with males regarded as the reference category). We also include a
50
THE ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL REVIEW
Table 2: Household Car Ownership and Mode of Transport to Work, 2006 (Full
Population of Working Individuals 15+ Years; Percentage)
Dublin City Dublin Other Rural
and County Commuter Urban
Belt
No household car 14.5 4.7 12.0 2.8
On foot or bicycle 6.9 2.7 8.1 1.7
Bus, train or LUAS 6.8 1.2 2.0 0.3
Motorcycle, scooter, car driver 0.8 0.8 1.9 0.8
or passenger
At least one household car 85.5 95.3 88.0 97.2
On foot or bicycle 11.8 7.2 14.0 4.9
Bus, train or LUAS 17.0 9.2 3.2 1.3
Motorcycle, scooter, car 56.7 78.9 70.8 91.0
driver or passenger
Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Note: The samples exclude those who stated that they work at home, travelled by
“other” means (including lorry or van), or did not answer the question (see also
Section III).
Source: 2006 POWCAR.
8
See the Appendix for discussion of alternative formulations of the travel time variable.
9
Further details on the construction of the time and cost variables are available from the authors.
03 Commins-Nolan article_ESRI Vol 41 25/02/2010 14:31 Page 50
seven-category household composition variable to identify households
with children, single parent households, other households etc. This is

station, in order to construct our index.
11
Potentially important omitted
variables include cycle lane facilities,
12
bus service availability and more
general indicators of public transport quality and frequency. Variable
definitions and summary statistics are presented in Table 3.
CAR OWNERSHIP AND MODE OF TRANSPORT TO WORK IN IRELAND 51
10
Co-habitation is not recorded in the Census.
11
See Mayor et al., 2008 for further details.
12
See Ewing et al., 2004 for a discussion of the effect of footpaths and cycle lanes on choice of mode
of transport to school in Florida.
03 Commins-Nolan article_ESRI Vol 41 25/02/2010 14:31 Page 51
52 THE ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL REVIEW
Table 3: Variable Definitions and Summary Statistics, 2006 (Independent Variables)
Definition Dublin City Commuter Other Rural
and County Urban
Age 25-29 years =1 if aged 25-29 years 19.2 15.3 17.9 12.8
Age 30-34 years =1 if aged 30-34 years 16.1 16.5 15.5 14.9
Age 35-39 years =1 if aged 35-39 years 12.1 14.8 12.6 14.6
Age 40-44 years =1 if aged 40-44 years 10.8 12.7 11.6 13.8
Age 45-49 years =1 if aged 45-49 years 9.9 11.0 10.3 12.3
Age 50-54 years =1 if aged 50-54 years 8.7 8.8 8.1 10.1
Age 55-59 years =1 if aged 55-59 years 6.1 5.8 6.0 6.8
Age 60+ years =1 if aged 60+ years 4.4 3.6 3.9 3.8
(Reference category = aged 15-24 years) 12.7 11.5 14.1 10.9

Unskilled =1 if unskilled 2.6 2.6 3.4 2.9
Own account, farmers etc. =1 if own account workers, farmers, 1.3 2.4 1.8 3.4
agricultural workers
Other =1 if all other gainfully occupied and unknown 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
(Reference category = employers and managers) 20.3 20.3 14.6 14.2
Agriculture, forestry etc. =1 if agriculture, forestry or fishing 0.3 1.3 0.6 2.2
Manufacturing =1 if manufacturing, mining, quarrying, turf
production, electricity, gas or water 10.5 17.7 19.9 20.1
Construction =1 if construction 3.7 5.6 5.0 5.8
Transport =1 if transport, storage or communications 7.4 5.0 4.9 3.9
Public administration =1 if works in public administration or defence 8.0 7.7 6.4 6.8
Health, education, social =1 if works in health, education or social work 19.5 19.5 21.8 25.5
Other =1 if other 9.9 9.6 11.6 9.2
(Reference category = commerce) 40.7 33.6 29.8 26.5
Population density (home) =1 if population density of home ED is
>=150 per km
2
98.4 63.0 * *
Population density (work) =1 if population density of work ED is
>=150 per km
2
97.5 80.4 83.6 53.9
Rail available =1 if lives and works in an ED where 100 per cent of 35.0 3.8
addresses are within 2 kilometres of a rail station
(Reference category = does not live and work in such 65.0 96.2
an ED)
Rail available =1 if lives and works in an ED where 75 per cent of 19.4 2.0
addresses are within 2 kilometres of a rail station
(Reference category = does not live and work in such 80.6 98.0
an ED)

i
is
the vector of individual-specific independent variables,
α
j
is the vector of
estimated parameters for the individual-specific variables, z
ij
is the vector of
alternative-specific variables,
β
is the vector of alternative-specific parameters
and
ε
ij
is the error term. An individual i chooses alternative j if it gives the
highest utility among all possible alternatives. The distributional assumptions
concerning the random error component
ε
ij
determine the form of the model.
The most common assumption is that the error terms are independently
and identically distributed with a Type 1 Extreme Value (or Weibull)
distribution, which results in the following probability of individual i choosing
alternative j:
(2)
Conditional logit regression methods (using the asclogit command in
STATA 10) are used to obtain estimates of the parameters
α
j

α
j
+z
ij
()
exp x
i
α
k
+z
ik
β
β
()
k=1
K

03 Commins-Nolan article_ESRI Vol 41 25/02/2010 14:32 Page 54
the relative probabilities between a pair of alternatives are specified without
reference to the nature of the other alternatives in the choice set. Hausman
and Small-Hsiao tests of the IIA property have been developed for the
multinomial logit and conditional logit models, but are prone to errors (see for
example, Scott Long and Freese, 2006).
13
To test the appropriateness of the
conditional logit methodology, we follow Salon (2009) and also estimate a
nested logit model.
In order to estimate the conditional logit models, the data must be
constructed in such a way that there are J observations for each individual i.
As there are 35,528, 13,896, 26,899 and 35,292 individuals in our sample with

in this application; this is the subject of further research. For these reasons, we present results,
and base our discussion, on results from the conditional logit models, while recognising their
limitations.
14
In the absence of more detailed information on public transport availability, access to rail
services at the ED level is used here to proxy, albeit imperfectly, public transport availability.
15
Results from these various robustness checks are available from the authors.
03 Commins-Nolan article_ESRI Vol 41 25/02/2010 14:32 Page 55
V EMPIRICAL RESULTS
Tables 4, 5, 6 and 7 present estimation results for the conditional logit
models of car ownership and mode choice for each of the four sub-samples. Our
travel cost variable is necessarily a crude approximation of the monetary costs
associated with the various transport modes, but nonetheless, our results
indicate that travel cost exerts a negative and significant effect for residents
of the commuter counties, other urban areas and rural areas (as expected).
The effect of travel cost is insignificant for residents of Dublin city and county.
The cross elasticties
16
of travel time are highest for the car-motorised means
alternatives, suggesting that an increase in travel time for this alternative is
associated with proportionately large increases in the probability of other
alternatives being chosen (e.g. in the commuter belt around Dublin, an
increase of 1 per cent in travel time for those owning cars and choosing
motorised means to work leads to a decline of 0.3 per cent in the probability of
choosing that alternative, and a 1.3 per cent increase in the probability of the
other alternatives).
The results for the individual-specific variables for Dublin city and county
(Table 4), suggest that age has a significant influence on individuals’ car
ownership and mode choice decisions, with older age groups being

increased probability of opting for public transport, despite owning a car.
These divergent effects may suggest that the income effects associated with
higher education, which are observed through the greater probability of car
ownership, are counteracted by a greater awareness of the detrimental
environmental effects of car driving among the higher educated, who choose
more environmentally friendly modes of transport for commuting purposes.
Socio-economic group, used as a proxy for household resources, is similarly
significant. Those in lower socio-economic groups are more likely to choose any
of the non-car owning alternatives, and more likely to walk, cycle or take
public transport if they own a car, as expected. This may be picking up the
effects of income, with the highest socio-economic group, employers and
managers, more likely to own a car and drive to work than all other socio-
economic groups. Compared to the commercial sector, all other industrial
groups are less likely to choose the no-car alternatives. Most industries are
also less likely to walk, cycle or take public transport in combination with car
ownership. This may reflect the nature and locations of work in other
industries, such as agriculture and construction, which may have a greater
need for car ownership and use. Those in the commercial sector would be
expected to have more regular working hours and greater access to public
transport, thus making them more likely to walk, cycle or travel by public
transport than other industrial groups. An exception is public sector workers,
who are more likely to own a car but take public transport to work. Despite a
recent survey which highlighted the high degree of free car parking available
to public servants (i.e. those working in public administration) in the Dublin
area,
17
other characteristics of these occupations such as the availability of
subsidised public transport fares and/or their more regular working hours
may make them more amenable to public transport.
Public transport availability is evidently an important consideration, as

Lone parent with resident children but none under 19 years 0.32*** 0.49*** 0.59* 1.06 1.91***
Couple with at least one resident child under 19 years 0.09*** 0.11*** 0.12*** 1.07 1.40***
Couple with resident children but none under 19 years 0.11*** 0.12*** 0.15*** 1.23** 2.16***
Couple with no resident children 0.49*** 0.45*** 0.27*** 1.40*** 1.82***
Other households 0.88 0.91 0.56*** 2.42*** 2.20***
Single ref ref ref ref ref
Ever married 0.81*** 0.74*** 0.67** 0.79*** 0.74***
Less than third level ref ref ref ref ref
Third level 0.90 0.75*** 0.57*** 1.05 1.16***
Employers and managers ref ref ref ref ref
Higher professional 1.70*** 1.05 1.36 1.77*** 1.23***
Lower professional 1.98*** 1.65*** 1.98** 1.64*** 1.48***
Non-manual 3.67*** 2.76*** 3.06*** 1.85*** 1.67***
03 Commins-Nolan article_ESRI Vol 41 25/02/2010 14:32 Page 58
CAR OWNERSHIP AND MODE OF TRANSPORT TO WORK IN IRELAND 59
Table 4: Dublin City and County (Odds Ratios – Reference Choice is Car Owner and Motorcycle, Car Driver or Car
Passenger) (contd.)
No Car One or More Cars
On Foot Bus or Motorcycle, On Foot Bus or
or Bicycle Train Car Driver, or Bicycle Train
Car Passenger
Manual skilled 2.80*** 1.90*** 7.10*** 1.58*** 1.23**
Semi-skilled 6.08*** 4.05*** 6.69*** 2.40*** 1.41***
Unskilled manual 15.18*** 11.20*** 10.73*** 3.99*** 2.37***
Own account, farmers, agricultural workers etc. 0.84 0.68 1.65 0.77 0.65**
Other gainfully occupied and unknown 0.38 1.23 3.65 1.21 0.85
Agriculture, forestry and fishing 1.76 1.49 2.92 0.97 0.74
Manufacturing 0.67*** 0.74*** 0.96 0.62*** 0.45***
Construction 0.62*** 0.68*** 0.60 0.35*** 0.43***
Commerce ref ref ref ref ref

Kildare, Meath and Wicklow (see Table 5) are broadly in line with those
observed for Dublin city and county, with age, household composition, living
and working in densely populated areas, and access to rail having the highest
significance. These variables all have the same signs as previously outlined,
with younger people, those working in densely populated areas and those
living and working near a railway station significantly more likely to choose
all car ownership-mode combinations over owning a car and travelling by
motorised means to work. Individuals in lower socio-economic groups are also
still more likely than those in the highest socio-economic group to choose any
of the no-car alternatives or the car-walk or cycle alternative. Due to the
smaller number of observations in this sample, the significance levels of some
variables such as gender, marital status and industrial group fall. Once again,
those working in public administration and defence are significantly more
likely to choose the car-public transport option.
The results for other urban and rural areas (Tables 6 and 7 respectively)
differ in some respects to the samples outlined above, partly due to smaller
sample sizes and reduced significance levels. However, the main drivers of car
ownership levels and transport mode choice are still clearly evident, in the
significance of age, gender, household composition and socio-economic group.
The results for the rail availability and work population density variables
indicate some differences in comparison with the results for Dublin city and
county and the commuter counties. For example, rail availability is less
significant for the other urban and rural samples, reflecting the relatively
poor availability of rail connections suitable for commuting outside the
Greater Dublin Area.
18
While those working in densely populated areas
60 THE ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL REVIEW
18
Rail availability exerts a negative effect on the probability of choosing the public transport

significantly less likely to choose this option. The relative quality of walking
and cycling facilities in rural areas may explain this counterintuitive result.
Some of our models are fitting better than others, in part due to amount
of variation across alternatives and the quality of independent variables
available to us. For example, the Dublin city and county sample has the
highest significance levels for all variables, followed by the commuter
counties. These areas are better serviced by public transport, and have lower
car ownership levels, meaning that individuals are more likely to choose from
a wider variety of alternatives than the other urban and rural areas. Finally,
the small proportion of individuals choosing the no car-motorised means
option leads to less significant results, although consistent with expectations
(e.g. non-single households are significantly less likely to choose the no car-
motorised option, perhaps reflecting competing household demands such as
the presence of school-age children which would make car-sharing more
attractive).
CAR OWNERSHIP AND MODE OF TRANSPORT TO WORK IN IRELAND 61
03 Commins-Nolan article_ESRI Vol 41 25/02/2010 14:32 Page 61
62 THE ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL REVIEW
Table 5: Commuter Counties – Kildare, Meath, Wicklow (Odds Ratios – Reference Choice is Car Owner and
Motorcycle, Car Driver or Car Passenger)
No Car One or More Cars
On Foot Bus or Motorcycle, On Foot Bus or
or Bicycle Train Car Driver, or Bicycle Train
Car Passenger
Individual-specific variables
Age 15-24 years ref ref ref ref ref
Age 25-29 years 0.96 0.77 1.14 0.65*** 0.63***
Age 30-34 years 0.74 0.56* 0.75 0.39*** 0.51***
Age 35-39 years 0.54** 0.27*** 0.63 0.45*** 0.43***
Age 40-44 years 0.92 0.35** 0.71 0.55*** 0.37***

Semi-skilled 4.11*** 3.28*** 8.05*** 2.03*** 0.87
Unskilled manual 3.91*** 6.67*** 9.88*** 3.93*** 1.09
Own account, farmers, agricultural workers etc. 1.64 1.00 8.92*** 1.66** 0.55
Other gainfully occupied and unknown 12.23*** 1.00 24.57*** 2.49** 0.97
Agriculture, forestry and fishing 0.94 1.00 1.91 2.06** 0.38
Manufacturing 0.77 0.66 1.63 0.64*** 0.31***
Construction 0.36** 0.23** 1.17 0.43*** 0.41***
Commerce ref ref ref ref ref
Transport, storage and communications 0.62 0.80 0.47 0.52** 1.30*
Public administration and defence 0.75 0.58 0.76 0.64** 1.62***
Education, health and social work 0.82 0.49** 0.75 0.78* 0.51***
Other industries 1.35 1.26 1.47 1.09 0.67***
Population density (home) 1.28 5.09*** 1.70** 1.62*** 1.62****
Population density (work) 1.62** 1.32 0.46*** 1.11 4.10***
Living and working in an ED with less than 100 per cent of
addresses within 2kilometres of a rail station ref ref ref ref ref
Living and working in an ED with 100 per cent of addresses
within 2kilometres of a rail station 4.85*** 1.72 1.94 2.60*** 2.78***
Alternative-specific variables
Travel time 0.95***
Travel cost 0.89***
Number of Observations 83,376
Number of Individuals 13,896
Log-Likelihood –6,928.3
*** Significant at 1 per cent level; ** significant at 5 per cent level; * significant at 10 per cent level.
03 Commins-Nolan article_ESRI Vol 41 25/02/2010 14:32 Page 63
64 THE ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL REVIEW
Table 6: Other Urban Areas (Odds Ratios – Reference Choice is Car Owner and Motorcycle, Car Driver or Car
Passenger)
No Car One or More Cars

03 Commins-Nolan article_ESRI Vol 41 25/02/2010 14:32 Page 64
CAR OWNERSHIP AND MODE OF TRANSPORT TO WORK IN IRELAND 65
Table 6: Other Urban Areas (Odds Ratios – Reference Choice is Car Owner and Motorcycle, Car Driver or Car
Passenger) (contd.)
No Car One or More Cars
On Foot Bus or Motorcycle, On Foot Bus or
or Bicycle Train Car Driver, or Bicycle Train
Car Passenger
Manual skilled 3.51*** 2.41*** 4.83*** 1.68*** 2.15***
Semi-skilled 4.51*** 4.19*** 6.96*** 2.09*** 3.08***
Unskilled manual 10.43*** 7.87*** 14.10*** 3.13*** 3.01***
Own account, farmers, agricultural workers etc. 0.66 0.88 0.56 0.99 1.03
Other gainfully occupied and unknown 3.96** 12.94*** 8.35*** 2.54* 4.39*
Agriculture, forestry and fishing 2.53** 2.42 4.00*** 0.99 0.88
Manufacturing 0.86* 1.36** 1.02 0.66*** 0.60***
Construction 0.53*** 0.58* 1.16 0.52*** 0.51***
Commerce ref ref ref ref ref
Transport, storage and communications 0.30*** 1.18 0.50** 0.76** 0.81
Public administration and defence 0.42*** 0.55** 0.56** 0.54*** 0.56***
Education, health and social work 0.93 0.58*** 0.46*** 0.84*** 0.50***
Other industries 1.83*** 1.78*** 1.21 1.46*** 1.05
Population density (work) 1.12 1.14 0.55*** 1.81*** 1.30**
Living and working in an ED with less than 75 per cent
of addresses within 2 kilometres of a rail station ref ref ref ref ref
Living and working in an ED with greater than 75 per cent
of addresses within 2 kilometres of a rail station 2.41*** 0.47*** 1.04 1.86*** 0.56***
Alternative-specific variables
Travel time 0.94***
Travel cost 0.95***
Number of Observations 161,394

Ever married 1.07 0.91 0.76 0.85* 0.39***
Less than third level ref ref ref ref ref
Third level 0.59*** 0.39** 0.40*** 0.93 0.70***
Employers and managers ref ref ref ref ref
Higher professional 0.78 1.00 0.70*** 0.57*** 1.27
Lower professional 1.07 0.83 3.61*** 0.55* 1.08
Non-manual 3.59*** 4.16** 3.35*** 1.19* 1.52**
03 Commins-Nolan article_ESRI Vol 41 25/02/2010 14:32 Page 66
CAR OWNERSHIP AND MODE OF TRANSPORT TO WORK IN IRELAND 67
Table 7: Rural Areas (Odds Ratios – Reference Choice is Car Owner and Motorcycle, Car Driver or Car Passenger)
(contd.)
No Car One or More Cars
On Foot Bus or Motorcycle, On Foot Bus or
or Bicycle Train Car Driver, or Bicycle Train
Car Passenger
Manual skilled 3.66*** 2.54 7.32*** 1.12 2.03***
Semi-skilled 4.53*** 5.01*** 8.18*** 1.11 1.28
Unskilled manual 6.67*** 4.19* 11.45*** 2.09*** 1.75*
Own account, farmers, agricultural workers etc. 1.47 1.90 3.48** 1.72*** 1.02
Other gainfully occupied and unknown 3.03 1.00 6.89* 0.48 1.82
Agriculture, forestry and fishing 4.64*** 4.23** 2.37** 0.89 1.35
Manufacturing 0.89 0.89 1.04 0.75*** 0.37***
Construction 0.74 0.55 1.17 0.41*** 0.36***
Commerce ref ref ref ref ref
Transport, storage and communications 0.36** 0.25 0.25** 0.94 1.67**
Public administration and defence 0.38** 0.82 0.44* 0.63** 1.34
Education, health and social work 0.92 1.16 0.77 0.86 0.76*
Other industries 2.64*** 1.28 1.53* 1.47*** 1.10
Population density (work) 0.41*** 0.98 0.45*** 0.34*** 2.29***
Living and working in an ED with less than 75 per cent


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