!"#$% &$'(
)*+(,---.(
/0123456&7,-38
* 9:,;<,-: -,
6= >6?/< /> 3? 6? /</
6@&&&
7AA30')@ 6?3( A
,!"B6C A
?*0AD2#6@&$-
E - 6?)@$% 3( A
: F1564-F
F8,03G(
!"&
HE #/A 6?)@$
% I 6?5J1 K0@(
.:E6!-* 6?/
-!3&
L72!3 6?K@00 64
M)@(0 #,MN8)E
6'@I
O
L%-P 6;((<
E6!-# 6?)@$
% I
LQ<R 6?00 SM)@(
6?51 A2,*!
3X0C6?&$P2, 6?
(326A2,6?
FFJ1&
Vc55-6:E6!-;*
/A/<. 6?0)@$% /-!
3&%:(,N/F-
,32A 6?5(5<A
J/ 6?(3( !
:6@- 8d!6?/</>( '
0&
)*+,-.%/0
e-#323(:E6!-
* 6?)@$% /-!3
&\<,f3((3 80
3GJ>A(
!"&
1234
%(5 C532(F3FA/#32
64P(,!6;=
7R*,!6C?E
A 6?(PP-
! U6;- 6?
" Q<!- 6?
# gA/<. 6?
h
256
789:;8<=2>2?@A
B8CCD89EFG2FHIF@8J89
K28DE2IFH8<LM8CCM8C89CFN82O
8*(2**&70##,*C
\8CR*A3?(1#,*-
8R(,E0'5@
(&%nA:64#,*C
\8C6;-A#
(5##,*C:'&
1.1.4. C(c dao đng dâng, r-t m/c nư0c bin
%((5/A#,*"3?1
":/Ai-A6=
gA 6?/6C#>&%:/j3
*E6/A6?/<1,A3?6?
/</>0)@$% 8d0
?bkZ E;:&
gA '/3<-M #!
'(&U(31,-A/
A '# 6?C0 A@$% 0?
hZLpZ &
SS $/5(]'
1.2.1. Dao đng của m/c nư0c bin ven b Việt Nam
$%&'()$*+#,*&
k
$%&'()*,$*+3(/A/<.
6?/0A#,(J0 E@&
1.2.2. Tnh hnh nghiên cứu m/c nư0c bin trong v ngoi nư0c
./01230'4
T6?)"q
AD2(@!#6@&$P2,>1
*(-?-E
6!- 6?=
LU *6;<!-
78%,s776C%,s7(S4Q0 $MS1\[
%{B'\Pe6?75{7%,s7,
%,s%7F,76;$M!x
U8P-(FF-<,*/(
2!3K6?M O__k&70;OZM 5
<,/A 6?C$% *A/
A#sA/6@,6`%|}x
S;:$% 30W C@<,7Pg6;;
6C#sA,, 83?&UP
E'(,-*/A 6?)@
$% 564EJ~;J/
A 6?E3(#.&
t
256
2>2"CD_89"C>"89CFN82OK28DE2IFH8
26`Y56
%:6;64/F323(:
6;R/F- 6?&U;C3G
,64P(,D32&7 X(,•
?-6;=
2.1.1. Công thức tính c(c m/c nư0c trung bnh
2.1.2. Phương ph(p phân tích điều hòa thủy triều
2.1.3. Phương ph(p tính d cao thủy triều c/c trị
2.1.4. Phương ph(p phân tích c/c trị đi v0i m/c nư0c quan trắc
2.1.5. Phương ph(p phân tích xu thế
2.1.6. Phương ph(p phân tích phổ
abV[/]\563SQXc%b[dR$/
5(
7-;C:6;-->J<,/
AA6;P ,?*NF3( 8F
@1,/)@$% 1./A*#
0 ,!(0/5)6?KX( (
~n1#,*0 [&
L70 S"g12,!M364/A
*( B(,YPh&OLV&
L70$i7(M364#,* 264
A€#,* (2YPh&OLV&
CS!QR 6?@0S"g1($i75
3.2.2. C(c dao đng chu kỳ synp
e<R!? 6?(,1,
:B/A 6??, 8,!&7-1
6@R21,:•R6;?B
/A,!,YhLpItLuIOZLbZIpZ(,(;V&
IX!UB/A, 8,!# 6?
70 S"g1 S"%6 \(%• {,%;
\•RY(,V pItIOtIbO hLkItIObIbb hIuIbZIpZ bZIpZ
70 %7 $i75 0SR a0r
\•RY(,V kIuIObIbZ bZIpZ bZ hLuIbZ
OZ
CS!U/A 6?B
,!-R 6?(,0S"g1
CS!!QR 6?
00 S"g1
U•R?B‚KOZbZ(,38
(6;C10 YJ) Ph&bV&
3.2.3. C(c dao đng chu kỳ di
e<R 6?1,00
EB/AtkYJ) Ph&hV;b
M ( A!M FM &
%:6?364R-<,6?5n1,
OZ… b_lZ bkuZ OhZZ bZOZ lu hpZ
bZ… blhZ bhlZ OOtZ OulZ pu bbZ
kZ… OuuZ OutZ _pZ OkkZ Ll LbZ
54678'09:;<&=>?@8'09:;A(B
3.3.2. C(c m/c nư0c c/c trị thiết kế
c2>6?364)_6;
!'3(31,P#6; 0
2646?364-1E-&
eB3E30=OZbZkZ(OZZM 0
bk0 [!3/(-bZM Yb&lP(,
#0 0/V&
IX!&U 6?Y V00 /@$%
77 70
UB3E30YM V
OZ bZ kZ OZZ OZ bZ kZ OZZ
711 U1
O S"g1 Lt LOh Lbb Lbu pOO pbh phu ppu
b S"%6 Lt LOu Lhh Lph htp hut pZb pOp
h |;7( Oh _ h Lb bbl bhu bkh blp
p {,%; bO Oh b Lk btt buh b_O b_t
k $i7( Lhk Lph Lkh LlZ php ph_ ppl pkO
l a0r Llb Llp Llt Ll_ OOZ OO_ OhZ Oh_
5-4678'09:;<&=>?@8'09:;A(B
3.3.3. Xu thế biến đổi của m/c nư0c bin ven b Việt Nam
TF(,/j6?364JR#
6?/@$% )!3&
Ob
U>64?30!36=
6?PM !1M (!M &\+@
i/F!?!3 6?P#K
b S"g1
bZ°pZˆ%LOZl°p_ˆ`
kb Ou LZ_
p_
h c0|' O_
ktˆ%LOZk
kuˆ` bk bu l_ hl
p S(7< O_
plˆ%LOZk
kbˆ` hp LOZ Zb bl
k S"%6 Ou
pu‰%LOZk
pl‰` pl Lp_ Luh Lbp
l UNr Ot
pbˆ%LOZl
buˆ` hO LZb Z_ OOh
t |;7(
Ol°Zl‰%LOZu°Oh‰`
hZ bO Ok
Zb
u {,%;
Oh°pk‰%LOZ_°Oh‰`
{,
%;
$i
7(
a0
76?O_uZ bp LOhh
O_tZLO__Z bb pp Op
O_uZLbZZZ LZO LOOt bt LOl pp bZ
O__ZLbZZu bO LOku hh LOl Zl tb
7(@B Ou Lp_ bO LOb hZ ht
&7h&t3(JR# 6?
P0@0bZM &71,W
,!013(C0 S"%6&\.88
8*M*,#6C?
!,#6?6?-82JnPF
*,R(,&U0 A,R!A/<
,. 6?;&
!&Z'$V3%\-/3UV3
3.4.1. Hằng s điều hòa v đặc đim thủy triều
c2><64AW!*"0Opp
0 &7',A(A/([!3AW!*"
KOOOOp<*&
\J1##,*00 32N
/F•!$/)&
{2641,#,*C$%
1/0(0?30#,*=%2**
2*8*(2*8*&$*-Ai
10&
Op
3.4.2. Đ cao thủy triều c/c trị
6!<&7,-!? 6?0-
3#.3?;*C:0 W CN8
3(/6C#3i&
%2Jn(,6;32
6?11:'
!3X/(&76@4(, 6?11
W#,*K A364•6?
/<" 6?1LW 0#,*
A? A364•6?/<( AA0#
3i&m<, #,*,-M((
/s/(64@ A4X 6?XN&
\3(8#Aj6@&
Ok
256&
l;mJ89le89no2p;K28DE2IFH8
&"bW,[-\[b34$/5(
4.1.1. Đặt vIn đề nghiên cứu
76;b>D*/A#,*(
*E6!-# 6?W /F
&7,-/A 6?3(R4##,*
(/A/<. 6?&$P2,64
R*/A# 6?FF
5D2"5P -
D36‚(5/A5(L6?/<
6?.&
4.1.2. Phương ph(p t(ch m/c nư0c dao đng tuần hon
g'6;<*"#,*W!
*"00 /30#,*(A@
!3X&c1,A 6?XC
D
b S"%6 OZk
pl‰ Ou
pu‰ O_lOLbZZu
h |;7( OZu
Oh‰ Ol
Zl‰ O_tuLbZZu
p {,%; OZ_
Ok‰ Oh
pl‰ O_tuLbZZu
k $i7( OZt
Zp‰ OZ
bZ‰ O_tuLbZZu
l %M UM OZk
ZO‰ Zu
pk‰ bZZpLbZZu
t |8\! OZp
p_‰ Z_
Zb‰ bZZpLbZZu
b S"%6 OZk
pl‰ Ou
pu‰ hZ O_ub bpZ LOppZ LbhZ
h |;7( OZu
Oh‰ Ol
Zl‰ hZ Oh_O OuZ L_kZ LOlZ
p {,%; OZ_
Ok‰ Oh
pl‰ hZ Ohbu bOZ LOZup LOuZ
k $i7( OZt
Zp‰ OZ
bZ‰ hZ _kh O_Z L_OZ LO_Z
l %M UM OZk
ZO‰ u
pk‰ Zk up_ bOZ Lt_k LbZZ
t |8\! OZp
p_‰ _
Zb‰ Zk tuk OlZ LpOZ LOkZ
{,
%;
g< h__Z pOOt Opbl pkO ZOb ZZt ZZu u
a. pul_ hllb Obu_ Otk ZZh ZZZ ZZZ t
$i
7(
g< ltlp bll_ hbO bhh ZZh ZZZ ZZh k
a. lk_b bupt hhZ bbt ZZh ZZO ZZZ k
%M
UM
g< tklp O_hl hkO Opb ZZZ ZZZ ZZZ p
a. ttbl Oul_ hhO ZuO ZZZ ZZZ ZZZ p
|8
\!
g< tptp OtlO pub but ZZZ ZZt ZZZ k
a. tkOZ OuOO pbu ZZZ ZZZ ZZZ ZZZ k
a0
r
g< thuh bZh_ hll bZl ZZb ZZO ZZh k
a. tbuu bOtk hll Okt ZZl ZZZ ZZZ k
p&h1,0)@XA(7
AP [4/<.n/(uL_@I)
@% A•n/(pLk@&|!4/<.n/(/6?
Ob@YN(,V 0!(tZL_Z…&|!4
/<.n/(-bp@Y A(,VJ11i
• /6?Zk…&
4.2.3. Thng kê nư0c dâng, r-t theo cIp đ đ l0n
\A3?#46?/<.3( A:!
64564< J) Jn&%(A3?#,*A3?
#4/<.",A#
UM
g< tpkb bkpu ZZZ ZZZ ZZZ ZZZ bOZ
a. luOl hOup ZZZ ZZZ ZZZ ZZZ LbZZ
|8 g< u__k __u ZZt ZZZ ZZZ ZZZ OlZ
Ou
\! a. _ulZ OpZ ZZZ ZZZ ZZZ ZZZ LOkZ
a0
r
g< uObb Outl ZZb ZZZ ZZZ ZZZ O_Z
a. uuZp OO_l ZZO ZZZ ZZZ ZZZ LOtZ
U4 /<.d;kZ _kL__…
6?/<3?;OZZ •J1C A!0 ?ƒ31
1(ZkLOZ…&|?!3!->
1,46?/<3?;OZZ *3(/6C#>
(1?&
4.2.4. Thng kê nư0c dâng, nư0c r-t theo c(c th(ng trong năm
c2>(!-E6/<.#
6?)M &751J16?
/<6?.)64P(,p&k&
IX&)751Y…V6?/<6?.)M
70
g<†
a.
7
O b h p k l t u _ OZ OO Ob
S"
g1
g< OZt _O uh k_ tk t_ ut lh lt OZk ul _u
a. lk ll uu OZl _k ll lO _l OOt tu up tu
S"
8 ƒ3;C '8X0A
0"6?.PJ6430&700 A)
@<,% A3(6@1 '8X-
<!ƒ3!46?/<6?.)J
O_
6430?0 8*(,3(/6C#
'<, &
Cq&\A3?6?/<.P
(0)0S"g1
Cq&!\A 6?/<.
P(0)0a0r
$*<!A)1, 6?/<
.PC568&7,-
A3?#6?/<0C '>YlLOZV
;€?M IA3?#6?.
08-3:M &
IX&1&7ƒ3!46?/</>?R!46?/<7M
7-0
S"
g1
S"
%6
|;
7(
{,
%;
$i
75
a0
r
,-<#,3(/6C#>&
$*<!)8@#46?
/<6?.6C#,CA&T6?
/</6C#> ƒ31dYZkLOZ…R!
46?/<0 [0 V&7,-6?/</>38
3?C[6?/<000 *J1
: '>&
4.3.2. Nguyên nhân v cơ chế gây nên dao đng dâng r-t m/c
nư0c bin
%6>/A/<.# 6?3(/
0A#,(J0 E@185
bO
(<,-&U0A/0 8P 8]#
,/j/0# 6?&7,-
,-<<,<,-/A/<.
6?=
LgA/<.J1/6?/F#
,:( E6??0C@&I
LgA/<./R1,<,-I
LgA/<./1+1#P5
(6?Y!;#,/",VI
LgA/<./R# 2A6?<,I
LgA/<./; ` I
LgA/<. 6?/6C#>(
1?&
7-<,3(:,-<1<,-/
A/<. 6?0)@$% &•
6C#,-<<,/A/<. 6?
--0 [ [0 &78R32
(,6*P <D36‚,-
h&gA 6?')@$% + /
/A*/A,!(, 8/(&U/A*
(5B(6;M364: (
bh
22(6?8C0@&
U/A,!B A!(,(5
(6;# 6?&7-#
6? E/AB/(‚ A!M
(FM 3-?:A(36
,, 8;bM (, 83-2-&e0
(,564-W ?//(0*
6?&
p&# 6??B3E
00 //@$% 13?
!?:6@3( 8(,0J<,
/8PD2)0
,(6;35&$?@.;AR
- !3 6?:E6364(,f
64 (&
k&7!AM 6?C<,XXAK
X7SC(Kbp †M I6430
<, XA 6?P30J
?!A Kbp †M I)
% A!AM3-(KOh †M &|<(
83<2(!S+UT=Mb †M
M(!#0 %(o(Q.Š&70
7AJR 6?P1
0J):M( ,-,!#!A
R•(KZb †M &HR
6?C<,264K< 6?