Cn Bộ Ging Dy: TS. V LÊ PH
Bộ Môn Qun L Môi Trưng – Khoa Môi Trưng
TRƯNG ĐI HC BCH KHOA Tp.HCM

BIN ĐI KH
HU V PHT
TRIN BN
VNG
WEEK 4 (1 Oct 2010)
THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT
Tc đng ca con ngưi đn ti nguyên nưc & vn
đ qun l TNN (IPCC, 2007)
BĐKH – Nưc – Lương Thc
Human society is very dependent on water
Water is very dependent on climate
Climate might change
Humans, Water and Climate Change
Why worry about climate and water
Van Deursen
nh hưng ca BĐKH đn ti nguyên nưc ti cc khu vc
(IPCC, 2007)
T C ĐNG CA BĐKH ĐN TNN TI S KHU VC
KHU VC
T C ĐNG
Châu 
ng  u  i i t  i nguy  gia 
 p  c TNN do  u  n  c t i , Nam,
Trung va , c ti c   c sông
 n.
Gia   c ôp t.
Châu Phi

Vulnerability. Contribution of Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
Tác Động của BĐKH đn Ti Nguyên Nưc
Nguồn: IPCC, 2007. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and
Vulnerability. Contribution of Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
Tác Động của BĐKH đn Ti Nguyên Nưc
Tác Động của BĐKH đn Ti Nguyên ĐB
Nguồn: IPCC, 2007. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and
Vulnerability. Contribution of Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
Tác Động của BĐKH đn Ti Nguyên ĐB
Nguồn: IPCC, 2007. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and
Vulnerability. Contribution of Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
BĐKH v An Ninh Lương Thc Ton Cu
 n
TNN 
  u:
  
  
  i;
    c
38% (2025);
   
m 2-3%
T C ĐNG CA BĐKH ĐN QUI HOCH ĐÔ TH
  , không gian xanh
  
  c

12 M. Inhab.
New urbanized areas are being developed on lowland region
21
Thit hi do thiên tai ti TPHCM
Estimation of lost due to natural
disasters within 10 years (USD) in HCMC
(common hazard: whirlwind, storm, flood,
landslide, etc)
Năm Thit hi
1997 2,360,471
1998 142,471
1999 119,118
2000 145,000
2001 175,353
2002 605,176
2003 375,235
2004 163,035
2005 427,682
2006 5,638,166
2007 725,465
Total 11,909,009
Carew-Reid, 2007
22
Tc đng ca BĐKH đn Thnh Ph H Ch Minh
Tc đng chnh:
Hn hán, ngp lt, thiu
nưc ngt v xâm nhp
mn
Upstream flood
Upstream flood

period 1982 - 2006
maximal sea level had
raised about 20cm.
Max Temperature and consumed energy in HCM city
Max Temperature oC
Consumed energy GWh
Cc Tc Đng ca BĐKH Đ Đưc Nhn Dng
Rainfall concentrates
in short time whenever
annual precipitation
has tendency to
decrease
Daily maximal rainfall
in Tan Son Hoa station
raises in recent years.
Maximal tidal level in
Vung Tau gauging
station
25
Cc Khu Vc Ngp Lt Vo Năm 2050