MỞ ĐẦU
A. TÍNH CẤP THIẾT CỦA ĐỀ TÀI NGHIÊN CỨU

 !"#$%&'(')*+'),-'').'/.,*01
2
3'4*
).'')*5*674,819:2;6227"<5*'=*>24,19?6
;622$"@,ABCD/'4*',%@6,')*+,E4,'4*1@:,,"@)*
124,5*'=*')199$;622$",ABCD')*+
'4*',$@1,,E4,'4*$@1,,"3B)FAG'HII @'
(,-').'JK'4*','L1@>
2
>
2
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D'HII Y'D'4*',1?$,N
Z'O,3,('')*7*')'*C['(*.'
'BT*,3\'D3'BT*BCDFM*@5'4*
'(3,,-'').'Y*F''53]O]"N)*5*
'=*%24,*0M819$1;6222"@'(')*+^Z'O,'4*2@%
2
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*'4*3Fa'J.''B=*N)*'19%1;19:2')*+,E
4,BC'Y69T'_*V'+*V199>;622%/*5,
U*bQ1?T',E4,Ncd/''e,(F0@fV/.'
'B=*@AO,)*g(3O,g(5[5B^*S/+
'3*3Dh_*Ni,gj@'L4,19?119%2')*+,E4,Y
$2*38,Bd@'L4,19916222*5,U*Q17*38NVA

')+'8T/YV3*_**BT3,M'r*R035
4**V3*4*'`*SN
g3BCDFM**3,FPR3'C,3
MVJK5BS*0')*'HII N)BC*8SYT/
*P'.'5*/8l*'M,.'')D*58'.')N
O*U.'3'A*5X,V,'..'
'(*'Agh]k3'*C')+gh]k'303,\
.,P*@,P*B=')').'N8*5/
BT3P3''B)BC*3'+,*5
V@j'*5,*l''53;'M8*M8
'BT*gh]k'303BC*'+,*5'*CN
ZCR*vF/^')@'3G“Nghiên cứu sự biến đổi của nhu cầu
tiêu và biện pháp tiêu nước cho hệ thống thủy nông Nam Thái Bình có xét đến ảnh
hưởng của biến đổi khí hậu toàn cầu”/BTU.'D*N
B. MỤC TIÊU NGHIÊN CỨU CỦA ĐỀ TÀI
I[BTJA80'BCJ'@'*BT*BC
'@'=*'"3U.'BT'BC,-''*'8_*
O,g+F5B^*'30N
6
C. ĐỐI TƯỢNG VÀ PHẠM VI NGHIÊN CỨU ỨNG DỤNG
;h'BT**'3380'3'BC
,-'F'(*JA'88''A3U/(N
;!V,**F\*3'*'8_*O,g+N]'
5*'3Y'D*F\*d*l*X*gjg(3
d*Y'A3U/('BS*'AN
D. NỘI DUNG VÀ PHƯƠNG PHÁP NGHIÊN CỨU
D1. Nội dung nghiên cứu
JM*2$.JG
1"w0'BCd*5B^*')F5B^*gh]k'30
'_*[5BCDFM*38'N

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D3. Địa điểm nghiên cứu
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E. NHỮNG ĐÓNG GÓP MỚI CỦA LUẬN ÁN
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1.2. TÌNH HÌNH NGHIÊN CỨU Ở TRONG NƯỚC
1.2.1. Khái quát chung
11
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_*')+'NV'bOg+@'*J_*Y')+'.@,-'
s@B5,580*m'T')DFM*@'*Dg+c
Y[')U*8BY‹5@,('J‹3*/Y'+[[s*N
!BS*8VU.'*55,5.BC'3d*@5,
5'''380Q**m/4,6262N
10) Dự án Quy hoạch phòng chống lũ đồng bằng sông Hồng Z‰8V
8T@6222" #>>&.x5Q**mU.'l*hgpk*l,G"
BS*lj'm'BT**l@_*')+3*mVF<"
I[,\Q**mlCBkQg+@g3@
8‰*@pS@M<"I[5_*')+*
FQ*58mB*J_*h3@M‰0@hQk3@p_*kYm*
BMm,mC')BAJ_*kl*;g+N
11) Đề tài khoa học cấp Bộ: Nghiên cứu đề xuất quy hoạch và giải pháp nâng
cấp các hệ thống thủy lợi vùng ven biển Đồng bằng Sông Hồng nhằm thích ứng
với biến đổi khí hậu #7>&FZ‰8V8T')+'A'L4,
6229NzA'3JK3'334,6212C'5V'BTBJG
"h*,(5B^*BCDFM*Fgh]k'''BC

6212;6262N
1.2.3. Nhận xét và đánh giá chung về các công trình khoa học đã công bố có
liên quan đến biến đổi khí hậu ở Việt Nam
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_*)(*)/^Z'O,,Cb'')*3FA[5gh]k'3
03BCDFM*Nk0'_*')+JqF\*FA !@•Oz!@
|gYd*O,‘@h_*O,‘3Z'O,B*^,(JS(
')V,)(*N]'_*')+P_***5
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1.3. KẾT LUẬN CHƯƠNG 1
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Bảng 2.1: Phân bố diện tích vùng đồng bằng Bắc Bộ theo cao độ
Cao độ (m) Diện tích (ha) Tỷ lệ % Cao độ (m) Diện tích (ha) Tỷ lệ %
•1@2 $22N$>$ 62@61 7@2›?@2 19N?:2 1@$6
1@2›6@2 6%9N$22 1:@%9 ?@2›%@2 >1N1?2 6@%%
6@2›$@2 1$>N6?2 9@2$ %@2›:@2 1>N%22 2@99
$@2›>@2 117N>62 %@%% :@2›9@2 17N?:2 1@2?
>@2›7@2 >1N$22 6@%: ž9@2 76>N>2% $7@6:
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8FA3_*')+'TN)*,d,B'3(d*M'
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6>
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2.2.2. Biến đổi về nhiệt độ
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Bảng 2.2: Nhiệt độ trung bình năm của một số trạm khí tượng
TT Trạm đo
Nhiệt độ trung bình năm theo thời kỳ (
o
C)
1961-1970 1971-1980 1981-1990 1991-2000 2001-2008
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Hình 2.1: Xu thế biến đổi nhiệt độ trung bình năm tại trạm Láng
67

Trích đoạn Biến đổi về lưu lượng Biến đổi dòng chảy mùa lũ trên dòng chính sông Hồng ng 2.19: Kho ng cách xâm nh mn trên ts sông ố

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