1
Chapter 8
Bond Valuation and Risk
Financial Markets and Institutions, 7e, Jeff Madura
Copyright ©2006 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.
2
Chapter Outline
Bond valuation process
Relationships between coupon rate, required
return, and bond price
Explaining bond price movements
Sensitivity of bond prices to interest rate
movements
Bond investment strategies used by investors
Return and risk of international bonds
3
Bond Valuation Process
Bonds:
Are debt obligations with long-term maturities issued by
government or corporations to obtain long-term funds
Are commonly purchased by financial institutions that wish to
coupon rate of 5 percent. The prevailing
annualized yield on other bonds with similar
characteristics is 7 percent. What is the
appropriate market price of the bond?
84.963
07.1
050,1
07.1
50
)1(
Par
....
)1()1(
bond of
2
21
=
+=
+
+
+
+
+
+
=
n
k
C
k
C
bond using PVIFs?
80.963$
07.917$73.46$
)8734(.050,1$)9346(.50$
)(050,1$)(50$bond of
2%,71%,7
=
+=
+=
+=
==== nknk
PVIFPVIFPV
7
Bond Valuation Process (cont’d)
Impact of the timing of payments on bond valuation
Funds received sooner can be reinvested to earn additional
returns
A dollar to be received soon has a higher present value than
one to be received later
Valuation of bonds with semiannual payments
First, divide the annual coupon by two
Second, divide the annual discount rate by two
Third, double the number of years
prevailing annualized yield on other bonds with
similar characteristics is 7 percent. What is the
appropriate market price of the bond?
27.963
035.1
025,1
035.1
25
035.1
25
035.1
25
)2/1(
Par2/
....
)2/1(
2/
)2/1(
2/
bond of
4321
221
=
+++=
+
+
+
+
+
+
bond?
1,102.80$$75.40$1,027.40bond of
40.75$)0754(.000,1$
)(000,1$principal of
40.027,1$)274.10(100$
)(payments coupon of
30%,9
30%,9
=+=
==
=
==
=
==
==
PV
PVIFPV
PVIFACPV
nk
nk
11
Relationship between Coupon
Rate, Required Return, and Price
If the coupon rate of a bond is below the
investor’s required rate of return, the present
value of the bond should be below par value
(discount bond)
If the coupon rate equals the required rate of
14
Explaining Bond Price Movements
The price of a bond should reflect the present
value of future cash flows based on a
required rate of return:
An increase in either the risk-free rate or the
general level of the risk premium results in a
decrease in bond prices
- - -
),()( RPRfkfP
fb
∆∆=∆=∆
15
Explaining Bond Price Movements
(cont’d)
Factors that affect the risk-free rate
Inflationary expectations
Economic growth
Money supply
Budget deficit
+++
∆∆∆∆=∆
-