i
MC LC
Danh mt ng vit tt
Danh mc bng
Danh m
Danh mc ph lc
PHN M U ....................................................................................................................... 1
1: TM QUAN TRNG CA QUN TR R
I ....................................................................................... 2
1.1 Tng quan v rn tr ri ro .......................................................................... 2
m ri ro .................................................................................................... 2
t ri ro ...................................................................................................... 3
i rng gp i Vit Nam ........................... 3
1.1.3.1 Rng ............................................................................................... 4
m ca rng ................................................................... 4
n rng ....................................................... 5
ng rng ......................................................................... 6
1.1.3.2 Ri ro thanh khon ......................................................................................... 7
n ri ro thanh khon ................................................. 7
ng ri ro thanh khon ................................................................... 8
1.1.3.3 Rt................................................................................................. 8
1.1.3.4 Ri ro ngoi hi ri ro t ...................................................... 9
n ri ro ngoi hi ..................................................... 9
ng ri ro ngoi hi ..................................................................... 10
1.1.3.5 R ................................................................................................ 10
1.1.3.6 Ri ro chic.......................................................................................... 10
1.1.3.7 R ............................................................................................... 10
1.1.3.8 R ................................................................................................. 11
1.1.3.9 Rp .......................................................................................... 11
ii
2.2.1.3 Mt s n ch rng ....... 37
2.2.2 Rt ...................................................................................................... 38
..................................................................................... 38
..................................................................................... 39
2.2.2.3 Bi .................................................................................... 41
2.2.2.4 Din bi ................................................................... 44
2.2.2.5 Bia rt hin nay ................................................ 44
2.2.3 Ri ro ngoi hi .................................................................................................. 45
2.2.3.1 Din bi ..................................................................................... 45
2.2.3.2 Din bi ..................................................................................... 47
............................................................................... 49
2.2.3.4 Bia ri ro ngoi hi hing tt
Nam ............................................................................................................ 50
2.2.4 Ri ro thanh khon .............................................................................................. 52
2.3 Thc trng ng dng Basel trong ho thi
Vit Nam ................................................................................................................ 53
KT LU ....................................................................................................... 60
MT S XUT NHM NG QUN TR RI
I VIT NAM .................. 61
3.1 c ....................................................... 61
3.1.1 Tip tn h tht, khuyn xut kinh doanh cho doanh
nghip, bo v la NHTM ....................................................... 61
y mnh vic sp xp lng c h thng NHng hong M&A
o tim lc m sc c ng ....................... 63
cn tip tng kinh t thun l
NHTM ............................................................................................................... 63
3.2 c Vit Nam .................................................................... 64
nh chung ca U
qun tr r ....................................................... 64
n lin vi nhc mi quan h kinh t khu vc t
mang li ro tim n, cung ho
minh ch
H thi Vit Nam ma nn kinh t -
mt trong nhc ht sc nhy cm, m ct quc ty
i mt v ri ro trong ho xi ro
thanh khon, ri ro ngoi hi, ri gian qua, s din bin phc tp ca nn
kinh t i ro dn bc
lc din bin ra nhng ri ro
kp thi x
h thng ng i Vi c c
ng, thc hin tt mu qu trong kinh doanh
2
1
TM QUAN TRNG CA QUN TR RI RO
I
t ri ro
Dt
R ng rt qu c xut hin tn tht, ch
kh ng ca nhi trong nn kinh t. Nhng ri ro
n s.
Rng ng rn s c bii trong
nn kinh tt qu c s mang
n s tn th i trong th hip vi sn ph
doanh nghi i v p vi
kh a doanh nghi
Dc
Ri ro thu tn tn thi sinh li
i ro thung r
nhng thit hi, ma hon, mt cp, tai nn lao
t kho p thit hi)
c hn ch.
R i to ra
thun li gn lin vi nhn tht, loi rng ly hot
p dn c
i rng gp i Vit Nam
4
.
7
-
Timothy W.Kock (1995)
Thomas P.Fitch (1997)
-
-
9
-
-
-
(i)
-
-
-
R
p cn ri ro m
thng nhm nhn dng, kim thiu nhng tn tht, mng ng
bt li ca rng thn r
.
V i ro
mt v
-. Qun tr ri ro
gc: nhn dng rng ri ro, kia
ri ro.
Nhn dng ri rou kiuyt trong qun tr ri ro. Nhn dng r
thng kinh doanh c
12
bao gm: ving ho hot
ng cm thc tt c i ri ro, k c d ng ri
ro m xut hi p cho
tng loi ri ro.
i ro
nga ri ro mu qu
ng ri roi phi thu thp s liu, lp ma trng ri
quan trng ca ri vi ta
s dn sut xut hin ca r ca ri ro (m thit
hi do rnh.
Kia ri ro. Kia qun tr r
vic s d thu, ching
c gim thiu nhng tn tht, nhng
xi v
t a tn tht, chuyn giao r ng ri ro, qun tr
n s tn ti cn nay.
.
i vi nn kinh t
.
, QTRR tu ki
ng t thng NHTM t
, cung ng vch v kinh doanh,
y nn kinh t qun.
i vi quan h i ngoi
14
, nn kinh t ca mi qun kinh
t khu v gi v tin tt nhanh
i vo.
Qun tr ri ro i nhp quc t. Hin nay, xu th
hi nhp quc t ng hay b cun
t. Vic hi nhp v t v ht sc quan tr
15
nhy cc c
v i tham gia hong trong mng
t ng thi, phi mt vi nhi ro cao
vi nhng din bin phc tp ca th cn thit ca vic qun tr ri ro
trong h thc s thi quc gia
li ph thuc qun tr ri ro c
1.3 Hic Basel v qun tr ri ro n
1.3.1 Basel I
t v s cp k 80, m
a p hp t Basel, Thy
quyy ban Basel v
qung cc t.
y ban Basel v t my
c v vn cng quc t phi
nm gi mt mc vn ti thi i nhng r xy ra. Mc vn ti
thit t l phnh trong tng vn cc v
c hic vn ti thing s ri ro c
Ma Basel I
Cng c s nh c thc t.
Thit lp mt h thng nhng nhm gim c
nh gic t.
u, Basel I ch ng trong hoc t thuc c
ng s ri ro c
ri ro ca tng lon
Bng 1.1 : n theo trng s ri ro (Basel I)
Trng s ri ro n
0%
Tin m
tr n c
20%
n tr n cn
Chc
50% n vay th ch
100%
Tt c u ca doanh nghin n
t n vay th cp c phiu, bng s
Theo bii ca th c sn ri
ro th ng bao gm c ri ro th i v th
s bing l i ro th ng c th i v ca
mn nhi bin c kinh t sinh ri ro th t, t
i hi, chi ro th c:
chu ri ro ni b c nh
i b s dng nnh
nh trong Basel.
17
Mt nhii mc Basel I vu hn ch, c
th mt trong nhng hn ch cn ri ro ho tr
phc tp.
n v u hiu
m b chc bit vi nhng
18
vn ti thic hin mt s
hp nu h i kt qu c
n ngh c vu theo
nh.
p m bo mc vn c
i mc ti thi u si ngay lp tc
nu mc vc ti thiu.
Tr ct th ba n ph p theo
c th ng. Vi tr c u buc
nh u vn, m
ca vn nhn m nhy cm ci r
dng, ri ro th ng, ri ro ti vi tng
loi r
ng ca Basel II r
c t u chnh
theo r la chi ro.
Hit loc nhu chnh hoc
i quan h
vi gii. Ving nhn tr r
theo chun mc Basel II ti mng trong vin
a m gii.
Basel II vnh vi thi
t c c phc:
- RWA
rng
n * h s ri ro ( so vi Basel I, RWA c cp
- ng ni b
ni b.
c kinh nghim t qun tr ri ro ca mt s c
c kinh nghim t Lan sau cuc khng ho
Cuc khng hoc khng hoc
khng hon rc bu t
n kinh t g khu vc. Cuc khng ho
nhn khu v c chu ng mnh m nht t cuc
khng hou ng nng n nh
p tn t tm c quc tc
th hi sau:
20
t cuc khng ho1997 n t lot nh c
default swap i ro c
i vng kinh doanh r
bc l nhiu y
.
t s nhnh sau:
ng hoi tr qua bt c mt quc gia hay mt
t ch ng ca quc gia, t ch ng
ho yn tr r rt xa tm
ki
Do ri ro khng hon r
thi vng, cng
n vi n cn tr ri ro
kp thi
ro.
.