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 !"#
Tăng trưng v pht trin kinh t qua cc
trưng phi – Liên h thc tin  Vit Nam
hin nay
$%& $'($")#$%&*
+, /
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. 
, 
4 
/ 
5 
* 
6 
7  
8 !"
 "#
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class="bi x0 y0 w1 h1"
:;<
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$ $'()*+
$, $  /0"
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<= <>?@=A6
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=>=?

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>6U30676FFL6J-D6"a9 6R06%676.0?*0'1I23O
!#@7@E6*'0?@E6FZWG0">:0 @]@9.6UW
-0-W-0E6FZ6%6%&,61<YJ>E>(?6676A6EM*'0P
ES0">6(0U6676NE0*0'*76Nb@9.0(?6
(E560'00'93J560'0ED6J@ *56bI76((?6(36#
IR0.676560'0*0'O
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;_
<6FZ@700"86%E0" N"R0:(DE6FZ*76
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IRJ67ED6-M;(:0A0(e@J0'93Of(C0"0P0HH*766X
086C;0"@7J00V@?@(8E6#FVE+EE6#E&
*0'V(6EG6E?F IR00'93#@700"8J00'd6*L6
@X6?6(86%676QJ67ED6O0-J0"FA06:WE6FZJI2
3E(2"R0:0"@7*0'*76"(-6C"R0
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*0'6%0'MC6-6%.0C">OfM(J0Fg(8N
h0"@7*0'560>980"(D0P0'*`6('O
./. L( $O`C J"$ C aUbFB$R" aLF $UYF
14.1.1. Hon cảnh ra đi:
%&"50#"(-@700"8-;0'*iJ
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0"2-$MH0O<6lJ@6/E(3I23@700"8
Dg0D"AN.00'0;676-J676:E20)-676NA6

EJ*AE?0:0.6`6C08(?609[6(5
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E?0#.@E*'0N 6%FG0"()*/7r"ƒJ97
(L0JEPE56-O-OOs
$EJ76"50#"R060"5-0"T6%M60"@70
0"8*0'J0#6lWG-M6-M6@A?@9 
0#O
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|J6%&"50#(D00M0"H(36+R0JC0" Ny
(5"a".0^560'00:0.-6%&"50#O%&"5
0#V0+0".0(8W0"H(3@700"8$V6+#
V!7@O
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$0*l(2@700"8DV!7@J-?0I:M6O:(C
E66%&"50#6Q*76+F-M;M6*76F
O%&"50#V!7@*/@ 0" Ny(5@700"8"a
".0JC(C-0"T@700"86CFG@700"8:*0'!7@E6
9RO76076 0>98E^0Y,6"]0Yruvwv1uxyysJEE9Y"0
ruxuh1uxz{sJ„Y$W-O-t
{O%&"50#V$^
%&"50#$6T5E6%&"50#
0:0.O
14.1.4. Đnh gi chung
"(:*.E6FZ6%0'*iJjJjjJN.6%6%&
"50#E309M60'EM0"E6FZJF-M;6+F760
"6)O:l08.V6)-%&"50#El(l0>0"E6
FZ(26AL0U6- 0+6676.0?*0'-:d0E\EWG0">
;00G0"0U6EDJV"30*i>M6-.6>6U
-0U6*0'0">6#FV*56J(50.0…-M;00V*0'

/EE\E-:F @o"TJ98*0'=YFY-0"00G0G>O
OaFK g.6,6h.67.i#00VEKED6J6C0lL00F 
IR0FL6R06%0"@70"5/O‡(:IR0:6+F76[
 e7d6F IR0/.@^60GWE0/Q
6A6J*'*+60"*0tAF76•$/97Q6A6‚6%/(?6
IR09 uwwˆ(2(:6@:('00V0"5/O0V6%(D
6%/E0GWB97Q6A6O
K"eFO"ZZfjfa g.*/*h.6./i#E30*0'EM-EF7E@
/0'6+0"6)(8!7@O‡E/9  E?+66%/WJ@>@7
6%&0"50#OYN(86%/0:0.*/@ E6%6 W
R0F @oE(3ME6%6 O
14.2.3. Cc học thuyt tiêu biu:
560'0-:0"00G0G>
560'0-:F @o"T
14.2.4. Nội dung của CNTN:
 @C*0'/.@J @C/W*nN.
F IR0@*'O">E@0"6%JFG6C00FG6%30NA6
*/98.V*AE?-9D608.V*AE?/F J30
NA660E30NA66C:E#0G6J0G6@o6T0:6`
E@#0.W686%6 0/O$FEEY9Y"0@>@76%0"#(:
"7c5-
6(0:6%6%&0"50#OY/J6%6 NA6W6+E
;-0;+6-0"M6'0EF @o6%/.@6l@ (?6*'
*+6>6l6C30:/.@6C0D"0dW6FV;-
0?0%6/J0>6/.@FgWS0MFG6C60R06 5O
;0YN(86`6C/.@MED6%
6 -06R06TE0/*/0D"70"O50P>0L60"()
7OU6E0"-.6977J6 9>-9>97*/
(?6-R0H6 O‰[E?6%0#6C(?66`EFG0'0*.
676* 6@+0#D-0:6%0#*/@ EE?6%

('^0/0"5-0"T0GW6%6J(:60GW6D0"J0G
W9/97J9  E?+66%F IR0J(d69.0EF IR0/.@t
$>6D(C0"@7*0'6Q*CET0"7*n;D
6'R0(W68(?60G60'70"0G>>6870"0d
WJ6`WPEDVF @o"TW(R0((YED0/O#;J58F
-R(:F IR0-E(3F IR07J6`0@0">6UF IR0
"8c5-
 (#-66/.@*/@ EF IR00D"70"0
0>O
./4 L( $O`C J"$ C aUbFB$R"Uek(l"m0$
14.3.1. Hon cảnh ra đi:
M00V6%0"@76)(89L0(lIR0.0P0'*iuw-
@700"8Dg-0'*iuz('Z6A0'*iuhO0'566)(8E0
0V*0'@lEMIR0.VNA6
14.3.2. Những đại din tiêu biu:
'Wm0ruwy{1uwhˆsLE:-M076@o•%6 6%676NA6
‚Œ(?66EF7E@"*0'56-E(l0>>6UE\
E00"V*0'306766C.0A0Hf-W‰6"Wruwwy1uzy{s(?6
6E076 0"@7*0'6)(8IR0FL6R0O$>6D(CJ6T6C;
0>0)EMF,E0Fruwxx1uz{•sJ„m0"0,EEruzˆx1uzw{sO=
(8-:*56*0'6%5JA676>6U0"M6(CJE*
56-:FG6C-6760U6"36%6 E>O
14.3.3. Cc học thuyt tiêu biu:
560'0*0'6%}EE!Y00
560'0*0'6%Wm0
560'0*0'6%f-W‰6"W
14.3.4. Nội dung
76*0'0Y0"@76)(8*/6/6+F769 3
W66%M6-60"5@0+6676-R(:6%E&-G6F IR0
0"FG0769.0*nE&-G60#OY560'0•90-/H‚'

•'0AN0"5E0FAE?6%6 E0+6EQ09 OD0"@ E
 J-:*0'@ E0 @C*nFG60.@M6JV
(C•90-/H‚Fg(:@A0>306760AO
>D6'6%0"@7*0'566)(8[V6K6"[
-A-E(3*'0?@0Y300iE.*/()J*/I]00M'0A6/.
-60R(?6-0"T6%+!%6Q6766+F76(l0@700">
6%M6O0J-.6(d0"FG(A6;E&-G6F IR0-
0#(2E6676*0'566)(8(77*/(l(%;
E>N00'0;E&-G6(CJ0"(C6C V6%676'0A
0#E>N70"HF IR0O06Q*/(:6@('676-R(:-:(D
(U6J-CJ0":0A-:0U*76O
.// L( $O`C J"$ Ch($@$ aSH(h9"#
14.4.1. Hon cảnh ra đi:
0'6+0",76B<>"(-;•ˆ6%0'*ij0
*@#0U6F IR0$(2*…((?6FG6'0L6%C(A
-M@#0U6F IR0@*'O
:*0'^E(D@700"86%:(D6/.@6#*+V676
M609 O
:6+0"1I23^D6/.@6#*+"(WS0MFGIR0.30
6R@M16R@-/F O†6R@6-M6R@0F H0>
6R@6#9 0"I2309 Of97@9U6-99C6E30d:>
6R@-/F (20P9M6(UE>(R0"-M6R@0F 0R06 ;
@0"(:0+0G@70J>30>6l*76N@ 6C30E\
E*56(8WS(J[(@0"(R0"6%6/0P0G
@70E>0G76O
:00V^A0'*iuzJ(l0'*iuh6C:@70*56E
6#FVE\E6-.6E\ 676.0?0G>JI23-0WOd69.06C
90"E00VEM^"'0566)(8U6J*0'6+0"J6%&I2
3*/0V!7@O
" c5-

9 9R09'J09 * 9'J0.-.6@609 F IR000
9 6A(-09 E(3O
:d070"^,76(2@6F @oI230{@l6•-•J0">
6#FV(CJ,766"[^
)F @oI23‘6•-•
)0@NA6W‘-•
^09 9R09'
^09 * 9'
,^70"0dW
14.4.5. Đnh gi chung:
CEDJO,76J!OY-OjO<>(20G6.636676D-&
(D0"*0'6+0"56O0'6+0",761<>EE\EFL69]6%
6R@6/-WE(300'M0"636(R0"6A
6%&09 JIWG06/6%&63F O
".,c5-
./5 L( $O`C J"$ C aUbFB$R"n(l"m
14.5.1. Hon cảnh ra đi:
Z6A0'*`j(l0'*`J*C*-:*0'6%$
60"V>0"l0"5O% *0'J0R0.@t0>0S
6R@-(R0"6R@;6R@-/F -6R@0F O"M60HH
*C*(CJ676560'06%0"@70F 6)(80n"9R0EG60"-.6
9  $O"30FG*.E6FZ0"5(D0"0*EFGIR0
.%&,76(26`"IM-(30R0'6%I23EOH
;E+W(C>(Tn@ 6C;E\0'0*0'M[9 36
6%&09 -*L6@X6;*C*-:*0'J(d69.0F*%
 *0'uzw{O
14.5.2. Cc đại din v học thuyt tiêu biu:
"@7,q-M„$0YFE"*NE\0'0•FR0MD‚
„$0YFE"*ruz•w1uh{zs
"  @7    -M  E~"YW  ,"FFEE  -M  E\  0'0  7  6 J  6  6l

./* L( $O`C  aUbFB$R"\f`fe#
14.6.1. Hon cảnh ra đi:
P;{ˆ6%0'*`JV676M6@#*% *
0'J0R0.@0I>J>0"5r(8HE636*% *0'
uhyhBuh{{s(26U0n676E\0'0%30GW*Wr0G(:0'0J•9
0-/H‚JE\0'0•69[0)N70‚s6%0"@76)(8(2*/6T
FU60'0@X6-*/( 9 6>*0'@700"8EDO"*
(CJ6%&09 @700"8-MEG6E?F IR0@700"86(TnFG6
0.@6%M6-*0'rH06%&09 (36N:
M6sOmG@700"86%6%&I23-FG06/9M6(l6%:*0'
*'D6C(200FG6\6%676*0'0O"M60HH(CJ>6l
(d0"E@ 6C30E\0'0*0'M6C* 0+6U-M0HHM
9  JW0"H-@700"86%&09 -560'06%YYF(7@U
(?6(:(C0/NE\0'0*0'-:6%&09 6C(:0'0O
14.6.2. Cc đại din tiêu biu:
YYFO
14.6.3. Cc học thuyt tiêu biu:
<\0'0-:FG(:6`*0'-/6%M6
76560'0*0'0"@7YYFM-FYYF
14.6.4. Nội dung:
"@7YYF9769n676E+ 6)(8-:FG0G(:6`6%:
*0'J*/(\-M@76)(8-6)(8M-:FG69[*0'WG
0">6#FV0G(:0'06%00"O-(CJYYFN.M6
@ 60.@-:*0'O‡6"[-(:N0"5-8R0
(A-M6%&09 E*AE?0R0.@--.6EOYYF(2("
@#@7@@0+6-&/:*0'r0U6E@0+6*0'IR0@700P
;0)E?EM(8>6UAE>.-*M6%6[
0H"6/6X076(3-*MJE0()0)E?sO:6#9 
0"@#@7@YYF-SWG-0E\6%NJ*76-M676
6)(8-6)(8MWG-0E\679.0JYYFWG-0E\I23J0E\

14.7.2. Cc đại din tiêu biu:
Y9EYB?66EF7E@0"@7086'O
,06YEEB)0'-:>6U676.0?*0'6C0+6*HO
14.7.3. Cc học thuyt tiêu biu:
 !"#$!%&'()* +, /+,0.12*3
4$
M086'0E+BI23 rD98^Y9EYs
M086'@7@E+BI23rFs
M086'0A*>#rD98E,06YEEs
*5!%&'(+,6./+,7.#$
'0I236/.@r;xˆ6%0'*is#
'0•236/.@M‚
'0•236/.@‚
14.7.4. Nội dung:
;*0'0Y0"@7086'0"[W3EG66%FG@70
0"8I23E676086'I23r(HJM6J0)6U6(36N:J.@
(J6C08EFG98.6%0E\I23J(36#IZFGJ@#0U60W^
0@0X6J0":0AJ98.-:E0@7@JEE+JsO5*…(676@D0"
*0'r6'(3FV;J0'J0:0.JE?JsEH0U608.6%0E+56
0"I23-*/0P076(36%676NE0*0'*76NJ
".5c5-
*/@0+6FG@700"86%EG6E?F IR0-N.F IR06`
@0+6FG0'C6%0E.F IR0O
14.7.5. Đnh gi chung:
;0Y0"@7086'0U6(?6-0"T-076(3
6%676d0(FAI23J(d69.00U6*7FFL6076(36%*56
*&00-6/.(A-MFG@700"8*0'0"I23.(DJ(d0-R(:
>6U0)08:*0'JI230"N0"H-(3E6FZJ>6U
*0'0"AE>.076(3-M676d0*766%(FAI23W(C+0
:*L6@X60SJ6U-2FGFX@()6%6%&09 JE66%

>  6U  /  ;  0#  6  r”!”„•s  (?6  0  E@    uhux  V  m0
!Y0Y"F9" -M676(D98 E*0"m*E-F* ruzh{1uhz•sJ •"-
ruzh•1uh•usJ$"FŽ*Y9ruzzx1uhvhst
".*c5-
14.8.3. Cc học thuyt tiêu biu:
<\0'066l
14.8.4. Nội dung:
C676*0'56@*0'56-/.(D6/6X@
0+66#9 -:6-6lJ0.+60>W-6#FV0756(8FZWX
;6/6XOC766Q60R"[0":*0'0
0"0GW676'0AF IR0B(R0JE(3--AB(:(?670"0
-:9[-MU6(CC@0"N70"HF IR0O>0L6(/*(?6
W(8(:6`@@A0@^6C&E6*'(?69[(
-MU60F 5(CC@0"N70"HF IR0O"@7%30GW
6D0"J6AEDFG60.@6%M6-*0'J00V6#6'0
0"Fg(:0'0:*0'09[66l-6C.N O
14.8.5. Đnh gi chung
;*0'0Y0"@76760(26CWG@0+66X08FG
-(36%:*0'0">6#FV676NE06%00"J>6UF#
676N.F IR00"()O'5ED-M@ FEl**…(
676@D0"*0'0"6%&09 E00D-&-J5AD09nA
N.*0'-6+0"J6;D0(3*0'E;D0(3076
"*n30086'6+0"R0(J6YR;E?+6*0'*76
([F;D0(3*0'O
./8 L( $O`C J"$ C aUbFB$R" aLF "#
14.9.1. Hon cảnh ra đi:
P;;wˆ6%0'*iJ.0A*0'09 6%&ED
E-636*% EMW(C936E3FG9R0EG66%6766+F76*0'
6%M60F 0">560'06%0"@7YYFOR0.*
M@>@7560'0YYF-W(C@X600V0GW*0'

(?6;9'(36X693076(36%FU6R0(0"76 -0:
6/JE6:*0'6C0"VED0'69[rW*AE?0:0.
0E>-M300`E.*/()J0P{—1•—30sO$>6D(C560'0
6Q-M-D6'*/(:6FG60.@6%+@%(8(:0'0
:*0'OY50H6#6'00"0GW6C08(:0'0J N'0676-R
(:*0'6#9 306766C.N J*/6l('FG60.@6%M6O
mG60.@6%M66`E@7-˜0'69[00"-6CD6
:*0'O#;J56`N0('-.66AED@70*/E0
('F07-0R0.@J(E69.0"l*6%6%&09 O
.5 o  >D    p  \  ;  ]?0    1q

.5. r eTXA($OFX sF aUtFDB$R  a"mJ"$ C
0"V-@700"8*0'E@D0"*0'W(86`;
9'()-:E?-6R06%:*0'1I236%676M60">0'MN
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30FA-M30FA*76O7.-:FG00"V-@700"86C
FG*76-:U6(3O
15.1.1. Tăng trưng kinh t v ch=t lư?ng tăng trưng:
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 )3
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300*R0(OmG00"V(?6FF70Y6760(8A6Fg@ 
70A6(300"VOCEFG0N/F E?6F-M
0(8A6O
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1 9N;<=9N;!+/>$H?#@
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• O&AP)3
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• G?QR^6R0E?00"V6C0880"MDV30*+6D
(CE^.N 6%(l0J(77N6`0>.FAj”‰bd660#(#
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• G?Q46R0E?00"V6C080'0M36%N(8-:
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0"V98.0@0"-9A0>6o6+F(^
o &S)&FE"P!T;$?SKB?#B*?U'V
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0.-66R0E?636FA6W6^00)05J F

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C6+EFG(l06@700"8O
š 8?eUY'
56-6/.EEG6N0"5(800"V*0'O
E0A6@]@00"V*0'-07F IR0V"30Y6:FO
56-6/.0>0'0D"FR0E(36J6R0E?F @o
0A0JE(30dWEMJ0D"0+6EQEM0P393:*0'(8(l0
600"V*0'-9:-;OJ*5616/.(20"V
0EG6E?F IR00"G60'@JE(3EG66%00"V*0'O
š O&1
#6R*0'6C-0"TN0"5(800"V*0'O#6R*0'
9^6#6R*0'J6#6R--6#6R0@l*0'O#6R
*0'?@E\08.V6KI76((0i0"5J-0"TJ0'D6%676
J676-J6760@l*0'J0P(C@9A676EG6@?@r-AJ
FU6E(3OOOsO#6R*0'?@E\6C076WX@706760'DJ6760:

F @o66b9  /0"F07O
0"V*0'E(:*.J0:(:6@700"8*0'J@700"8
*0'E(3EG6(o0A6(300"V*0'O
uvOuOyOyO OEB3#<1
!700"8*0'98."a".0R0VFG00"V*0'OH-J5
0A00"V*0'6Q(0E0A@700"8*0'O@70
0"8*0'6C3W"3#00"V*0'Of(C6760A
00"V*0'J6T676'0A*76076(3('FG@700"8*0'OfM
WD*7N70JFG@700"8*0'6 V6%676'0AF^
 OE4A<APB%&
76'0A036EG6E?F IR00D0676'0A(l-6%F 
IR0OmAE?-6R0E?6%'0A(l-N'0(('FAE?J6R0
E?6%C-W6-XJ V0"G60'@('@700"8*0'O"
EG6E?F IR0J676(:*.0G>J0>0>>0H'0A
6-*56J6/.6C-0"T'0FU60EMOJ*560"V
0EG6E?F IR00"G60'@J*56-6/.E(3EG606(o@70
0"8*0'6%676NA6O/.0>0'JR0E676E&-G66/.
6J'(?6-WX@?@JFgFZWX6C.N 676'0A(l-J0
FR0E(3J0D"C6C6R0E?6-9  /0"F
07OE'0AN0"5(8@700"8*0'-9:-;O
>0A(l6%EG6E?F IR0E/E/E6J
(d69.00"(:*.676D*56-6/..(DO`6
ME0A(3JF70D"6/.M-FZWX6/.(80D
"6%6 -06R0OH-J(l0-676E&-G6(8@700A6
6+E(l0-@700"8*0'O
 :WE4UD'B%&
=.F IR0 V('@700"8*0'0YM^30EJ
06(o@700"8*0'*N.F IR0@?@-M0+6R0-0"H(3
@700"86%EG6E?F IR0bEJ?6EDN.F IR0*H2FG
@700"8*0''*/6CFG@?@O=.F IR00'93J@?@-M

00"V*0'-M@700"8*0'O
.5, r eTZ@ $O`C X sF aUtFX!B$R  a"mJ"$ C "Oj"mO
<6FZ>6U00"V*0'00Y(:*.*0'I23
V;0**76J676N(80'@6-@0+600"V*76
O"@lJC076 I0CE?6ED;N(86#9 
0#U-M6760*>6U00"V*0'O
15.2.1. Quan đim cổ đin về tăng trưng kinh t:
P0'*ijj0"V-:0"M6JW:*0'0'M*/:0
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