MINISTRY OF EDUCATION AND TRAINING
UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS OF HO CHI MINH CITY
-----------------------------
HUYNH THI HUONG THAO
RESEARCHING THE IMPACTS OF
INTERNATIONAL BANKING SERVICES
TO OPERATIONAL EFFICIENCY OF
VIETNAMESE COMMERCIAL BANKS
Major: Finance and Banking
Code: 62340201
SUMMARY OF ECONOMIC DOCTORAL THESIS
Ho Chi Minh City - 2017
The work was completed at:
University of Economics of Ho Chi Minh City
The scientific instructors:
Assoc. Prof. Dr. Tran Huy Hoang
Reviewer:
1.
2.
3.
The thesis will be protected in front of thesis scoring
council at
the University of Economics of Ho Chi Minh City
at ... hour ......day ......month ...... 2017
(PTE), scale efficiency (SE).
To achieve the research objectives, the thesis has to answer
two research questions:
2
Question 1: Does IBS affect to indicators of the profitability
of VCB?
Question 2: Does IBS affect to indicators of DEA: TE, PTE,
SE of VCB?
3. Object and scope of the research
The thesis chosen object of study is the impacts of IBS to OE
of VCB. Research’s data taken from annual reports or financial
statements were audited from 38 banks including state commercial
banks and joint stock commercial banks in period 2008-2014. The
macroeconomic indicators of Vietnam such as the rate of economic
growth, inflation rate from the General Statistics Office of Vietnam.
Within the scope of the study, the thesis utilized the two
most common indicators when evaluating the profitability: ROA and
ROE. For the method of evaluating the marginal efficiency analysis,
the thesis selects the DEA method as the representative with
indicators: TE, PTE, SE. The research in the dissertation does not
include international investment operations.
4. Research methodology
The research model is based on Trujillo-Ponce (2013),
Nguyen Thi Hong Vinh (2014), Pham Huu Hong Thai (2014), Lam
Chi Dung et al. (2015) ... to study the impacts of IBS to OE. In
addition, the thesis approached the nonparametric method DEA of
Avkiran (1999), Ngo Dang Thanh (2010), Lieu Thu Truc and Vo
Thanh Danh (2012), Truong Quang Thinh (2012), Le Phan Thi Dieu
THEORETICAL
FOUNDATIONS
AND
EMPIRICAL RESEARCHES
2.1. International banking services of banks
2.1.1. The concept of international banking services
According to Nguyen Thi Cam Thuy (2012), IBS includes all
financial services requested by customers related to international
trade, international investment, international tourism ... In other
words, the bank provides financial services in the international
market for profit purposes. According to Tran Huy Hoang et al.
(2006), a bank providing IBS is a bank providing IBS related to
foreign exchange or nonresidents. In spacial scope, IBS is not only
between countries but also within each country's territory, regardless
of whether the currency of that country is freely convertible into
another currency. On the basis of inheriting the concept of IBS and
legal documents in Vietnam, concepts of IBS used in this thesis is the
banking services related to foreign currency provided by banks.
2.1.2. Indicators of international banking services
Two indicators: the ratio of foreign currency liabilities to
total liabilities and capital (Truong Quang Thong, 2010) and the ratio
of foreign currency loans to total foreign currency assets are the two
most reflective indicators of IBS, are independent variables,
explaining the effect of IBS on banking OE. The ratio of foreign
currency liabilities to total liabilities and capital reflects the funding
mobilization operations of commercial banks. Meanwhile, the ratio
of foreign currency loans to total foreign currency assets reflects the
together with support and the rise of mutual control. In terms of the
nature and history of the development, IBS is always a useful part,
6
tied to domestic banking services and created the entire business
operations of a bank. IBS is an integral part of the banks' business
activities and the development of IBS will impact on OE of banks
certainly and effectively. Therefore, the study of the impact of IBS
to OE is truly meaningful and essential.
2.4. The empirical studies of IBS and OE
2.4.1. The empirical studies of IBS and OE
With in-depth studies of IBS in Vietnam: Le Thanh Lan
(2004), Tran Huy Hoang et al. (2006), Nguyen Thi Cam Thuy
(2012), the authors have just used statistical or inductive, deductive
method without quantitative method to study specially about OE and
IBS.
With researches of Nguyen Viet Hung (2008), Truong
Quang Thong (2010), Nguyen Thi Loan and Tran Thi Ngoc Hanh
(2013), Trinh Quoc Trung and Nguyen Van Sang (2013), Pham Huu
Hong Thai (2014), Nguyen Thi Hong Vinh (2014), Vo Xuan Vinh
and Tran Thi Phuong Mai (2015), Lam Chi Dung et al. (2015), OE
can assess by profitability indicators such as ROA, ROE or by
indicators of DEA. Pooled OLS, FEM, REM or Tobit regression
models are often used to analyze the factors affecting on banks' OE.
There have been some studies on the impact of a banking servise or
a specific indicator of banks such as bad debt, non-credit services,
bank's income diversification ... on OE, but a separate research
considering the impact of IBS on banks’ OE using quantitative
methods is not available in Vietnam.
+
Anbar (2011), Raphael (2013) ...
Sufian and Chong (2008) …
-
Nguyen Viet Hung (2008), Alper and
-
Total loans /
Anbar (2011) ...
Total assets
Gul et al. (2011), Sufian (2011),
+
Garza-Garcia (2012) …
Funds
Nguyen Viet Hung (2008), Nguyen
mobilized /
Thi Loan and Tran Thi Ngoc Hanh
(1) Economic integration to create conditions for the
banking system and the development of banking services as
Claessens and Horen (2009), Sufian and Habibullah (2011).
(2) Diversification of banking services both domestic
banking services and IBS will help banks maximize profits
(Chiorazzo et al., 2008, Gurbuz et al., 2013; Vo Xuan Vinh and
Tran Thi Phuong Mai , 2015 ...). One of the directions for VCB to
quickly stand up with commercial banks in the region and
international integration are the development and diversification of
IBS (Tran Thi Van Anh, 2016).
(3) The fact that there are many studies on the impact of
banking services on OE but still do not have any researches in
Vietnam and around the world gives a quantitative model of the
impact of IBS on OE of commercial banks.
There are many works in the world that research the
factors affecting banks’ OE and from those results, the authors
have proposed appropriate policies to improve banks’OE (Sufian,
2011, Garza- Garcia, 2012; Aremu et al., 2013; Ayadi, 2014 ...).
However, these studies only deal with banking services in general,
without any specific studies on IBS.
Based on the inheritance of these studies, the thesis differs
from previous studies on research content and research models
when using Pooled OLS, FEM, REM, FGLS to evaluate the
impacts of IBS to OE of VCB in the period 2008-2014. This also
serves as a basis for finalizing a suitable policy framework in the
management of commercial banks in Vietnam in the integration
period.
9
Saigonbank, Kienlongbank, PGbank, NamAbank, Vietcapitalbank,
NCB,
Phuongnambank,
Oceanbank,
Baovietbank,
VNBC,
Westernbank, GPbank).
3.2. Research models
Derived from the model of domestic and foreign authors on
factors affecting the OE of commercial banks, the regression models
used the studies: Trujillo-Ponce (2013), Nguyen Thi Hong Vinh
(2014), Pham Huu Hong Thai (2014), Vo Xuan Vinh and Tran Thi
Phuong Mai (2015), Lam Chi Dung et al. (2015) ...., the author has
developed a common model for the impact of IBS on banks’ OE as
follows:
OE = α + βIBSi, t + γCONTROLi, t + εi, t.
In which: OEi, t is the dependent variable with the
representative variables are ROA, ROE, TE, PTE, SE of bank i in
10
year t.
IBSi, t is the independent variable of IBS of bankk i in year t
with two representative variables: the total foreign currency loans to
foreign currency assets ratio (FLFA) and foreign currency liabilities
Hypothesis 2a: There are same correlations between FLTA
and ROA of all banks, banks in group 1 and banks in group 2.
Hypothesis 2b: There are same correlations between FLTA
and ROE of all banks, banks in group 1 and banks in group 2.
3.3.2. For studying the impacts of IBS on banks’ OE according
to the indicators of the DEA method: TE, PTE, SE
Based on studies by Leightner and Knox Lovell (1998),
Avkiran (1999), ..., the study uses a revenue and cost approach to
have input and output variables, including:
Input variables: includes interest expenses (X1), wage costs
(X2) and other expenses (X3).
Output variables: consists of interest income (Y1) and other
income (Y2).
- Dependent variables: technical efficiency (TE), pure
technical efficiency (PTE), scale efficiency (SE).
- Independent variables includes: the total foreign currency
loans to foreign currency assets ratio (FLFA) and foreign currency
liabilities to total liabilities and capital ratio (or foreign currency
liabilities on total assets (FLTA).
- Control variables includes: equity to total assets ratio
(ETA), the size of bank assets (SIZE), loans to total assets ratio
(LTA), deposits to loans ratio (DTL), economic growth (GDP), rate
of inflation (IFL).
Hypotheses related to TE, PTE, SE dependent variables as
follows:
12
Hypothesis 1c: There are opposite correlations between
described as: variable name, observation number, minimum value,
maximum value, mean value, standard deviation, therefore to
perform the most general analysis of variables introduced into the
model.
4.1.2. The coefficient of correlation between variables
Correlation analysis was used to examine the relationship
between FLFA, FLTA, ETA, SIZE, LTA, DTL, GDP, INF and
dependent variables: ROA, ROE for all banks, banks in group 1 and
banks in group 2.
4.1.3. Multi-collinear test results
The correlation coefficient between independent variables is
less than 0.8, which suggests the possibility of low multi-collinearity
in regression analysis.
Table 4.6: Multivariate test results of variables
Variable
VIF
VIF
(All banks) (Banks in group 1)
VIF
(Banks in group 2)
FLFA
1,12
1,37
4,57
2,13
14
DTL
2,27
3,05
2,20
GDP
1,24
1,26
1,29
INF
1,32
1,35
1,51
significant
FLTA
Same
with
1% but not statistically
direction
1% with
significance level
Regression ROA
model
direction Negative direction
significance level
direction Same
Banks in group 2
1%
significance level
significant
Same
with
scale of foreign currency lending. According to a study conducted by
Truong Quang Thong (2010), the foreign currency lending on total
loans has a positive impact on the group of state-owned commercial
banks as the banks in group 1, the author's suggestion policy should
increase the foreign currency lending to the group of state
commercial banks. So, the research results are similar to the study of
Truong Quang Thong (2010) but contrary to the theory 1a.
FLTA impacts on all banks (+0,0192177), banks in group 1
(+0,0238037) and banks in group 2 (+0,0132762) are all significant
1%, coefficient of banks in group 1 is higher than all banks and banks
in group 2. Positive correlation shows that if the banks increase the
mobilization of foreign currency and make good use of this mobilized
funds, they will increase the OE, have more investment opportunities
for banks. According to research results of Truong Quang Thong
(2010), FLTA has negative impact on ROA for both state-owned
commercial banks and joint stock commercial banks, therefore, the
results are not consistent with the results of Truong Quang Thong
(2010). Based on the above results, we accept the hypothesis 2a for
the sample all banks, banks in group 1 and banks in group 2.
4.1.5. Research results for ROE dependent variables
Table 4.10: Summary of research results for ROE dependent variables
Variable
Impact on ROE
All banks
FLFA
Banks in group 1
level
level
Regression ROE = -0,1931715 +
model
significance
significance
level
ROE
=
ROE
=
0,2122217*FLTA + 0,093209*FLFA
+ 0,1292072*FLTA
-
0,0116989*SIZE
- 0,0789531*ETA
increase OE. FLTA has a positive correlation with ROE, which is
similar to ROA, indicating that if banks use the foreign currency
mobilizing funds well, they will increase OE, creating more
investment opportunities for banks. This clearly shows that to
17
increase the bank's profitability, banks must increase their debt ratio
to increase leverage. With this result, we accept the hypothesis 2b for
the sample all banks, banks in group 1 and banks in group 2.
4.2. Studing the impacts of IBS on OE according to TE, PTE, SE
of Vietnamese commercial banks.
4.2.1. Study the OE of VCB with the DEA method
4.2.1.1. Descriptive statistics the research sample data variables
15.000.000
Y1
10.000.000
Y2
X1
5.000.000
X2
X3
0
2008
4.2.1.4. Scale efficiency of VCB
The average SE over the years 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011,
2012, 2013, 2014 is 0,939; 0,956; 0,952; 0,979; 0,972; 0,979; 0,98
respectively. This shows that SE of VCB is 93,9% in 2008; 95,6%
in 2009; 95,2% in 2010; 97,9% in 2011; 97,2% in 2012; 97,9% in
2013 and 98% in 2014.
4.2.2. Studying the impact of IBS on TE, PTE, SE of Vietnamese
commercial banks
4.2.2.1. Descriptive statistics about variables
The average TE was 91,58%, the lowest TE was
Kienlongbank in 2008 with 64,6%; The average PTE was 94,91%,
the lowest was Kienlongbank (68,5%). The average SE was 96,5%;
which is higher than the average TE and average PTE, indicating
that SE has a great impact on the OE.
4.2.2.2. The coefficient of correlation between variables
Correlation analysis was used to examine the relationship
between FLFA, FLTA, ETA, SIZE, LTA, DTL, GDP, INF and
dependent variables: TE, PTE, SE for all banks, banks in group 1
and banks in group 2.
4.2.2.3. Research results for TE dependent variables
Table 4.24: Summary of research results for TE dependent variables
Variable
Impact on TE
All banks
FLFA
Banks in group 1
10%
significance not
level
statistically
significant
significance
level
Regression TE = 0,738668 + TE = 0,9456188 - TE = 0,3921823 +
model
0,1115416*FLTA + 0,1214874*FLFA
0,1230141*FLTA +
0,2398684*ETA
+
0,3038906*ETA
+
all banks, banks in group 1 and banks in group 2 because regression
coefficients or regression models were not statistically significant.
FLTA impacts on all banks (+0,1115416) and banks in group
2 (+0,1230141) at 5% and 10% respectively. Based on the above
results, we reject the hypothesis 2c for the sample banks in group 1
because the regression coefficient is not statistically significant,
accepting hypothesis 2c for the sample all banks and banks in group
2. The results of the study on dependent variable of TE are similar to
the results when studying with the dependent variable ROA and ROE.
4.2.2.4. Research results for PTE dependent variables
Table 4.26: Summary of research results for PTE dependent variables
20
Variable
FLFA
FLTA
Impact on PTE
All banks
Banks in group 1
Banks in group 2
Negative direction
Regression PTE = 0,66676 + PTE = 0,5903455 + PTE = 0,8495037 +
model
0,0671865*FLTA + 0,0847568*FLTA + 0,1759197*ETA
-
0,1634918*ETA
-
0,0182934*SIZE
+ 0,0199237*SIZE
0,0963768*LTA
2,085647*GDP
Source: Results from Stata 11.1 with data of 38 selected VCB
FLFA has the opposite effect on OE, which shows that
foreign currency lending does not bring efficiency to banks. This
shows that the Vietnamese banks are not well managing the risks of
foreign currency lending such as import-export finance. international
payment, international guarantee .... However, FLFA effect is not
statistically significant. Therefore, the 1d hypothesis of the study was
rejected.
FLTA impacts on all banks (+0,0671865) and banks in group
1 (+0,0847568) is 5% statistically significant level. This proves that
in order to increase banks’ OE, the banks expand their funding
but not statistically
not
significant
significant
significant
Negative direction
Negative direction
Same direction but
but not statistically
but not statistically
not
significant
significant
significant
statistically
group 1 showing that when banks increase foreign currency
mobilization activities, they do not increase SE. In contrast, for banks
in group 2, when the increase in foreign currency mobilization will
increase SE. However, this result is not statistically significant, so
hypothesis 2e is rejected.
-
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CHAPTER 5: CONCLUSION AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS
5.1. Conclusions from the research model
With the dependent variables representing the OE are: ROA
and ROE, the results show that there is a similarity in the results of
research on FLFA and FLTA for both the dependent variable is ROA
and ROE.
As the dependent variables representing the OE are: TE,
PTE, SE, the research results show that FLFA is not statistically
significant, FLTA has a positive effect on the result of TE and PTE
(ie, the effectiveness of input management) and not statistically
significant with the dependent variable SE (which indicates the
ability of the bank to choose the optimal scale with the bank's
resources).
5.2. The main contribution of the thesis
In addition to the theoretical contributions, the thesis has
some practical contributions, the results of the thesis are expected to
support banks’ managers.
5.3. Some policy implications
5.3.1. With foreign currency mobilization service
According to research results, FLTA variable have
significance or reliability. In addition, due to the limitation of young
data, when the conditions and data are available, the next study on
the impacts of IBS on commercial banks’ OE are: longer study time,
broadening the scope of research, making research for all
commercial banks in Vietnam and some commercial banks in the
region.